Photo by Scobel Wiggins – UltiPhotos.com

With no games to reconsider this week, and the Western Conference Preview expected to fill up the brunch menu, this week’s Disc Don’t Lie will be a look back at some numbers and assorted other things from the season as a whole. There will still be four sections at the top: Team Stats, Individual Offense, Individual Defense, Individual Overall.

Team Stats

Rather than solely considering teams as a whole, when we break each team into subsets of “offense” and “defense” based on who pulled the point, we attain a clear understanding of what characteristics lend themselves to success:

TeamO/DGBThrCmp%Th/GDropsDrop%FoulsPP

O

13533201694.2514.93231.1424189
O13629161492.5711.87130.8129170

O

11438155192.0713.61211.3520174

O

13631161291.5611.85181.1217218

D

858677291.459.08131.6836216

O

10630176390.4716.63341.9335212

O

12643149290.2811.84251.6827193

O

12840163490.1512.77261.5928215

D

787874189.479.50101.3554231

D

587558289.0010.0381.3754205
 NYTiny

O

11542165188.5514.36422.5442229

D

737772288.509.89141.9439225

D

607469788.0911.62162.3038213

  

D

597358787.399.95101.7034205

The first thing which jumps off of the page is that PHL, BOS, POR and SEA’s offensive rotations have the highest completion percentages of any lines in the league. Similarly fitting that POR has the highest completion percentage for a defensive rotation, followed by Boston. Speaking of Boston, they are the only team which, in aggregate, drops passes less than 1% of the time at .98%. There is value in executing the basics over and over again.

If we look at the other end, we can start with NY’s league high percentage of dropped passes (2.59% team-wide) and it is clear that just completing passes is a struggle for some teams. NY’s D has the lowest overall completion percentage and NY’s offense has the lowest completion % of offensive sides. On the other hand there is some evidence that both NY and SF suffered from overly windy home conditions as they are the only two teams which dropped passes at over 2% (SF @ 2.22)

A useful way to break this data into chunks is that all offensive sides other than NY completed passes at 90% or higher. All defensive sides other than POR completes passes at lower than 90%.

Individual Offense

This is the side of the disc which generates most of the stats and big names. It starts this way because you receive the disc and have a chance to put numbers on the boards.  But on some level, the question isn’t “What do you do in a vacuum” but “What do you do as a part of your offense”? If we compare players not in terms of their raw numbers but in terms of the portion of their team’s production, the results can be quite interesting. That is, Mark Burton scored or assisted 58 offensive goals (31G, 27A). Seattle scored 136 goals on 136 assists. This means that Burton was involved in 42.65% of all possible points, caught 22.79% of goals, and threw 19.85% of assists. We can do this for throws, catches, completions, blocks and just about everything else to let us know where the burden of an offense’s performance rests. In that spirit here are some of the biggest proportional contributors on the offensive side of the disc:

PlayerTeam%G + %A 
Burton

42.65
Bjorklund

41.23
Perston

40.35
Hibbert

NighhawksTiny

33.59
Wong

NighhawksTiny

31.25

This means that Perston and Bjorklund are involved in 83.88% of POR’s offensive scores while the next closest pair (Hibbert and Wong) are at 64.84%.  Yowza.

PlayerTeam%G 
Perston

28.95
Burton

22.79
Wong

NighhawksTiny

19.53
Glazer

19.26
Prial

16.67

The first three on this list are the “I know where he wants to go, but I am powerless to stop him” type.

PlayerTeam%A 
Bjorklund

28.07
Mazur NYTiny21.74
Hibbert NighhawksTiny20.31
Burton 19.85
Sickles

18.52

These are players on offense who are responsible for about 1 out of every 5 (or better) assists.

PlayerTeam%Blocks 
Graham

24.14
Hayes

18.42
Glazer

18.18
Eyrich NighhawksTiny17.50
Oung

16.28

These are the players on whom the burden of getting the disc back after an offensive turnover weighs disproportionately heavy.  Jeff Graham is getting nearly a quarter of all blocks by the Boston offense!

PlayerTeam%Thr 
Kolick

18.50
Hirannet

17.81
Cable

15.60
McKibben

15.26
Pape

15.01

McKibben & Pape combine for 30.27% of their team’s throws on offense.

PlayerTeam%Inc
Kenton

19.51
Montgomery-Butler

17.50
Eyrich

NighhawksTiny

16.77
Trytiak

16.18
Browar-Jarus

15.83

Not so good, y’all… not so good.

And now a useful back-of-napkin-style calculation. Percentage of throws minus percentage of incompletions (that is, players with a positive value take proportionally more throws than they do incompletions):

PlayerTeam%Thr%Inc%Thr – %Inc 
Bosco

9.091.068.03
Cable

15.608.946.66
Little

10.534.176.37
Kolick

18.5012.416.08
Ward

12.806.905.90

(only three more players were over 5)

PlayerTeam%Thr%Inc%Thr – %Inc 
Eyrich

NighhawksTiny

7.4116.77-9.37
Shofner

4.8312.41-7.59
Browar-Jarus

9.4815.83-6.35
Prial 9.8515.17-5.32
Kenton

14.4419.51-5.07

(no other players under -5)

PlayerTeam%Ast%Thr%Ast – %Thr 
Bjorklund

28.0710.7717.30
Burton 19.8510.249.62
Chan

15.445.899.56
Mazur NYTiny21.7412.309.44
Sickles

18.529.678.85

LOOK AT THAT BJORKLUND AGAIN.

PlayerTeam%G%Cat%G – %Cat 
Perston

28.957.6921.26
Wong NighhawksTiny19.538.4311.10
Burton 22.7911.8910.91
Glazer

19.269.319.95
Gillies NYTiny13.914.109.85

LOOK AT THAT PERSTON AGAIN.

And we always need folks to get the disc back after a turn on the offensive line (min 50 O points):

PlayerTeamB/PP (40 OPP min)
Hayes

.093
Murray

NYTiny

.077
Gibson

.074
Cranston

.065
Graham

.053
Oung .048
Macfarlane

.047
Siemer .044
Fitzgerald NighhawksTiny.043
Eyrich

NighhawksTiny

.043

Remember that these folks are averaging these block numbers despite starting on offense for the point.  There are far higher B/PP on the defensive side…

Individual Defense

PlayerTeam%G + %A 
Klein

37.25
Woodside

30.59
Stearns

SFTiny

29.17
Phan

29.05
HochhalterNighhawksTiny25.86

Klein & Phan = SEA’s Defensive offense, being involved in 66.30% of scoring plays.

PlayerTeam%G 
Woodside

30.59
Klein 17.81
Brownlee NYTiny16.67
Johnson

15.25
Alarcon NYTiny13.89

Note that Woodside is second in %G+%A without throwing a single assist.

PlayerTeam%A 
Phan

20.83
Stevens

20.78
D.Baer

20.34
Klein

19.44
Brown/Anderson

NYTiny

17.65

Phan & Klein all up at the top again, combining for over 40% of Rainmakers assists.

PlayerTeam%Blocks 
Hochhalter NighhawksTiny20.00
Foster

17.65
Woodside

16.28
Hibbert

NighhawksTiny

16.28
Hatchett

15.38

Hochhalter is everyhwere, just wait.

PlayerTeamB/PP (min 70 PP) 
Hatchett

.114
Foster

.114
S.Adamson SFTiny.113
Hooker

SFTiny

.111
Gibson

.100

Hatchett and Foster!

PlayerTeam%Thr
Hochhalter NighhawksTiny20.79
Suppnick

15.93
Simmons

15.65
Phan 15.37
Feeley 15.34

Wait… now it is Phan & Feeley?  Definitely Phan though.

PlayerTeam%Inc 
Hochhalter NighhawksTiny31.25
Colton

21.69
Pickel

18.07
Hibbert NighhawksTiny15.63
Hooker SFTiny14.29

Check that again:  H&H combine for 46.88 percent of all Vancouver incompletions on defense.  Colton is responsible for more than 1 in 5 incompletions for Philly’s defense.

PlayerTeam%Thr%Inc%Thr – %Inc 
Nikitman

NighhawksTiny

7.221.565.65
Suppnick

 15.9310.615.33
Rice

 9.464.554.91
Feeley

 15.2410.844.39
Abram

SFTiny

 7.973.904.39

Suppnick and Feeley have quite similar numbers and are very dissimilar players to watch control the field.  Substance does not equal style.

PlayerTeam%Thr%Inc%Thr – %Inc 
Hochhalter

NighhawksTiny

 20.7931.25-10.46
Colton

 12.7731.25-8.92
Pickel

 10.1118.07-7.96
Davis

 8.2913.64-5.35
Hollingworth

NYTiny

 4.919.88-4.96

The numbers really drop off from Hochhalter to Hollingworth.

PlayerTeam%Ast%Thr%Ast – %Thr 
Klein

 19.445.5413.09
Brown

NYTiny

 17.655.7011.95
Stearns

SFTiny

 16.675.7210.95
Stevens

 20.789.8510.93
Anderson

NYTiny

 17.6510.227.43

Klein throws 5.54% of throws, but 19.44% of assists!

Cross-Compare
So actually, this is almost a way to compare players by position. You can name these groupings as you like, but nonetheless, when compared as a percentage of their contribution to their team’s output when they play a point during which their team started on defense or offense:

If we score, it shall involve me:

PlayerTeamO/D%G + %A
Burton

O42.65
Bjorklund

O41.23
Perston

O40.35
Klein

D37.25
Hibbert NighhawksTinyO33.59
Wong NighhawksTinyO31.25
Woodside

D30.59
Sickles

O29.63
Mazur NYTinyO29.57
Kolick

O29.50

Celebrators:

PlayerTeamO/D%G
Woodside

O30.59
Perston

O28.95
Burton

O22.79
Wong

NighhawksTiny

O19.53
Glazer O19.26
KleinD17.81
Prial

O16.67
Brownlee

NYTiny

D16.67
Wodatch

O15.87
Johnson

D15.25

Assistsers:

PlayerTeamO/D%A
Bjorklund

O28.07
Mazur

NYTiny

O21.74
Phan

D20.83
Stevens

D20.78
DBaer D20.34
HibbertNighhawksTinyO20.31
Burton

O19.85
Klein

D19.44
Sickles O18.52
Markette

O17.65

Center of Offense (Thr):

PlayerTeamO/D%Thr
Hochhalter

NighhawksTiny

D20.79
Kolick

O19.25
Hirannet

O17.95
Suppnick

D15.93
Simmons

D15.65
Cable O15.60
Phan

D15.37
McKibben

O15.26
Feeley D15.24
Pape

O15.01

I did my share. I did my share, and your share, and his share. I did a lot.“:

PlayerTeamO/D%Inc
Hochhalter

NighhawksTiny

D31.25
Colton

D21.69
Kenton

O19.51
Pickel

D18.07
Montgomery-Butler

O17.50
EyrichNighhawksTinyO16.77
Trytiak

O16.18
Browar-Jarus

O15.83
HibbertNighhawksTinyD15.63
Hirannet

O15.63

High Volume, High Reliability:

PlayerTeamO/D%Thr – %Inc
Bosco

NYTiny

O8.03
Cable

O6.66
Little

O6.37
Kolick

O6.08
Ward 5.90
NitikmanNighhawksTinyD5.65
Nadon NighhawksTinyO5.60
Jensen

O5.41
Suppnick

D5.33
Katzenbach

O5.29

Possible Black Holes:

PlayerTeamO/D%Thr – %Inc
Hochhalter

NighhawksTiny

D-10.46
Eyrich

NighhawksTiny

O-9.37
Colton

D-8.92
Pickel

D7.96
Shofner O -7.59
Browar-Jarus

O-6.35
Davis

D-5.35
Prial

O-5.32
Kenton O-5.07
Hollingworth

NYTiny

D-4.96

(It should be noted that some of these players add value in other ways by throwing or catching a high percentage of team goals.)

If I touch it, all I see is endzone:

PlayerTeamO/D%A – %Thr
Bjorklund

O17.30
Klein

D13.90
Brown

NYTiny

D11.95
Stearns

SFTiny

D10.95
Stevens

D10.93
Burton

O9.62
Chan

O9.56
Mazur

NYTiny

O9.44
Sickles O8.85
Hibbert

NighhawksTiny

O8.62

Another way of thinking of it is that these players have done the work of putting themselves in position to throw goals.

Just connecting the offense, not throwing goals:

PlayerTeamO/D%A – %Thr
Kenton

O-11.81
Creed

NighhawksTiny

O-8.73
Dewey-Valentine

D-8.44
Taylor

O-8.28
XuNYTinyD-7.86
Rupp O-7.52
Hennessy

O-7.34
Montgomery-Butler

O-7.00
Esser D-6.48
Little

O-6.12

Reward > Risk:

PlayerTeamO/D%Ast – %Inc
Bjorklund

O15.06
Stevens

D13.09
Hibbert

NighhawksTiny

O12.86
Brown

D12.71
Klein D12.22
Sickles O11.62
Anderson

NYTiny

D11.47
Stearns

SFTiny

D11.47
MazurNYTinyO10.63
Nitikman

NighhawksTiny

D10.51

Risk > Reward:

PlayerTeamO/D%Ast – %Inc
Kenton

O -16.88
Hochhalter

NighhawksTiny

D-14.01
Colton

D-13.21
Montgomery-Butler

O-11.62
Pickel D-11.13
EsserD-9.15
S.Adamson

D-8.31
Creed

NighhawksTiny

O -8.20
Dewey-Valentine D-7.88
McDonnell

D-7.61

Chris Carters (G-Cat):

PlayerTeamO/D%G -%Cat
Woodside

D25.06
Perston

O21.26
Brownlee

NYTiny

D11.55
Wong

NighhawksTiny

O11.10
Burton O10.91
Diviney D10.08
Glazer

O9.95
Klein

D9.84
GilliesNYTinyO9.82
Johnson

D9.43

Endzone Surrounded By Moat:

PlayerTeamO/D%G + %A
Alorro

NYTiny

D-11.63
Anderson

NYTiny

D-11.40
Trytiak

O-10.92
Suppnick

D-10.44
Kenton O-9.97
DBaer D-9.55
Cable

O-9.47
McKibben

O-8.60
Markette

O-8.54
Feeley

D-8.51

(Another way to think of it is “But how can I throw a goal if I’m already in the endzone?)

You are the brute squad“:

PlayerTeamO/D%G + %A
Katzenbach

O84.83%
Bjorklund

O83.33%
Sickles

O82.46%
Burton

O79.96%
Hirannet O78.20%
Glazer O78.20%
Hochhalter

NighhawksTiny

D76.57%
Perston

O76.34%
Rainwater O76.30%
McKibben

O75.59%

Of the 10 players most likely to play on a given line, fully half of them are on Philadelphia’s core offensive line. Then Bjorklund & Perston and Burton & McKibben are present and accounted for. And then there is… Hochhalter.

Seven On & On Anon…

1. Peter Woodside Has 31 Goals.
Peter Woodside has thrown the disc 26 times. He is +5 in Goals – Throws. There is one other player in the league with fewer throws than goals: Peter Oestergaard with one goal and zero throws for a +1. The lowest number is Hirannet with -358. Are we sure Woodside is even playing ultimate?

2. Mark Burton has 34 goals and 29 Assists
Not only is the total (63) the league-leader, but he has more goals than everyone who isn’t Perston and more assists than everyone who isn’t Hibbert or Bjorklund. I’m sure that I’ve seen him in plays which do not result in scores, but I can’t picture any of them.

3. Top Heavy Hawks
Hibbert played 283 points. This is by far the most in MLU. It is 73 more than the next highest player. It is 28.3 points per game when anything 14 or higher generally means that you’re prominently involved. There are only eight players within 100 points played of Hibbert: Hochhalter, Eyrich, Burton, Saunkeah, Katzenbach, Phan, Sickles, and Mazur. There are only three players league-wide who topped 200 points: Hibbert, Hochhalter and Eyrich. Are we sure Vancouver is even playing ultimate?

4. Kittross-Schnell for President!
… of the 100% club. Though Ted Williams might dock him for skipping the last game, we shall assume no gamesmanship. Kittross-Schnell was frequently in the endzone when he caught the disc (16/40 catches were in the endzone) which helps limit turnovers. Tops in order of completions: Kittross-Schnell (40), Anthony Phan (15), Mathison (13), Furse (12), McCutcheon (11), Cheng (11), Luo (10). The club consisted of 19 players who combined to go 171/171 with zero drops.

5. Mr. Gamer Grip and Dr. Friction Gloves?
Season leader in catches without a drop: Kolick 264. Runners-up: Pape 231, Markette 228, Trytiak 226, Katzenbach 207.  “Just catch the disc.” is a solid ultimate mantra.

6. Turnover King
That is the player who is the opposite of the President of the 100% Club. Incompletions thrown plus passes dropped: Charles Eyrich with 32 (28 Inc, 4 Drops) is the 2015 Turnover King! The rest of king’s court consists of Hooker 31 (26,5), Hochhalter 29 (28,1), and Faust 29 (26+3) with three tied at 28.

7. In sum total:
18520 Throws, 16756 Completions, 1764 Incompletions, 1493 Goals, 883 Blocks, 557 fouls, 304 Drops, 90.48 Completion Percentage, 31 Bands, 8 teams in the regular season, 6 Callahans, 4 teams in the playoffs.

Midfield Heave as Time Expires

A Nomination for MLU 20-sec Clip of the Year:
9:25 – 9:45 Seattle @ Vancouver Week 8 . The length of the field, the glint of the disc, the relentless pursuit of the plastic…